From: Mark Donaghey, Chicago, Illinois, USA Date: Tue, 19 Nov 2002 09:51:40 -0600 A last-minute change in the weather conditions here in Chicago made possible the observation of tonight's spectacular Leonid meteor shower or should I say "storm"?)!! Last year, I was astounded by the tremendous number of meteors I was able to see from my heavily light-polluted observation site at North Avenue Beach on Lake Michigan. The viewing was hampered last year by a thin cloud cover that obscured all but the brightest meteors. Still, I was able to report: "I have never been able to see more than 4-10 meteors during any shower since I've been observing from Chicago (since 1994) but last night I was able to see a total of 89 meteors in 2 hours and 15 minutes!!! Many people were disappointed in the display, but for me, seeing 89 meteors from this highly light-polluted site is absolutely phenomenal." Well, the weather this year threatened to prevent *any* observations at all, with moderate rain and heavy cloudcover persisting right up until 3 AM local time (09:00 UTC). But at 3:15 I could see the full moon shining through the clouds and the NOAA ultraviolet satellite images showed that the clouds were rapidly moving away from the city, so I filled up a Thermos full of java and headed for the lake. I arrived at approximately 4:10 local time and immediately saw my first Leonids. By this time the sky was very clear, (for Chicago) with all the major stars of the Big Dipper visible, 4 or 5 bright stars in Leo, and Jupiter looking gorgeous...so I grabbed a cup of coffee and stretched out on the sand and started to count. For the first half-hour or so, I estimate that I was seeing one meteor every 30 seconds. The first one I saw was a very bright one streaking north through the Big Dipper (Ursa Major). I could see meteors throughout the sky, some just above the horizon over the lake. There were also some very faint meteors near the radiant in Leo, as well as some very bright meteors that appeared to be coming "head-on" to me right at the radiant. There was one very bright head-on meteor that produced a clearly observable smoke trail that seemed to have a little twist in it, as if the meteor had "bounced" when it hit the atmosphere. Just as I was beginning to become disappointed that I was not seeing groups of simultaneous meteors (around 4:30 CST or 10:30 UTC), the numbers started to increase. This was a fairly rapid progression of more and more meteors between 10:30 and 11:10 UTC, with the peak occurring around 11:00. At that time, I was seeing one meteor every 5 seconds, with periodic groupings of 3 or 4 at a time, all over the sky from the radiant down to the horizon, with most of them being nearest the radiant. I'd say that near the peak, about 15% of the meteors I saw were very bright and produced beautiful smoke trails. Needless to say, my personal meteor observing record of 89, set just last year, was rapidly blown away! By approximately 11:00 UTC I had seen over 100 meteors! After 11:10 UTC, the numbers steadily dwindled as suddenly as they had increased, with rates down to about one every 30 seconds again, but with occasional groupings of 3 or 4. It was a magnificent show! By 11:30 UTC the rising sun was beginning to seriously hamper observations from this site, and I bailed out at 11:40 UTC (5:40 AM CST)...but by that time I had seen an incredible 187 meteors!! I'm sure that, if anything, I undercounted these, as I was only able to observe the sky from the zenith down to the eastern horizon, with the city lights west of me making observations in that direction very difficult. I also didn't count those I *thought* I saw very faintly in my extreme peripheral field of view. As if this wasn't an amazing enough night of stargazing, as I turned to head back home, I was greeted by a beautiful full moon setting over the city above the pedestrian bridge on Lake Shore Drive! What a night! To wrap up this too-long essay, I'd like to make three observations. 1) For the second year in a row, I have been able to prove (to myself at least) that city observers would do well to ignore those who say that it is "impossible" to observe celestial phenomena from heavily light-polluted areas! In the past year I have observed two major meteor showers and a stunningly bright auroral display right from North Avenue Beach in downtown Chicago! So long as you do your homework by finding out in advance *when* and *where* to look, you will be amazed by what you can see! 2) Judging by what I saw here in Chicago, I can only *imagine* what an amazing show this would have been from a truly prime dark-sky observing site! This Leonid peak may well have produced a "storm-level" show for the lucky folks in the rural areas! I can't wait to read the reports from the lucky observers in the hinterlands! 3) I am absolutely astounded by the incredible precision of the predictions made by the scientists this year of this morning's meteor shower! It appears that they have refined their techniques for making predictions to the point where it is truly foolish to ignore their estimates! Looking at NASA's website of the predictions for this morning's peak, it is amazing how well this correlates with my own visual observations. When I came home and checked NASA's data, and saw this graph of predicted activity for an observer in Chicago, I was stunned. Congratulations to the scientific teams who produced these estimates! Two years in a row you have made it possible for me to observe these Leonids almost as easily as tuning in to a scheduled TV show!